Econometric modelling and projections of wood products demand, supply and trade in Europe

The designations employed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

This study was funded by Future Forests, a Swedish multidisciplinary research program, and its sponsors: the Strategic Foundation for Environmental Research (Mistra), the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Umea University, the Foresty Research Institute of Sweden (Skogforsk), and the forest industry in Sweden.

The current study provides a description of an econometric analysis of the forest secto in Europe and how the resulting models - together with assumptions regarding economic growth and price and cost developments - are used to produce country specific projections of consumption, production and trade of wood products in two baseline scenarios. These scenarios are based on IPCC scenarios A1 and B2.

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